murphaph

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About murphaph

  • Birthday 11/11/1978

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  • Location Brandenburg
  • Nationality Irish
  • Hometown Dublin
  • Gender Male
  • Year of birth
  1. Brexit: The fallout

    Renegade...your posts are 8 years old. Greece has experienced actual austerity the likes of which no other EU country (including my own, Ireland) had to experience. Irish state pensions were not reduced at all. The poor Greek pensioner gets half what they got before. That's hard, even if their country was horrifically mismanaged.    I doubt anybody is retiring at 50 in Greece these days.
  2. Brexit: The fallout

    It's like looking at a picture of the Goebbels family. The kids don't know what a sinister pr!ck their father is.
  3. Brexit: The fallout

    It's quite astonishing that so many working class people think Mogg gives even the slightest fuck about them.
  4. Brexit: The fallout

    I honestly don't believe the majority of those who claim to want a crash out actually believe that crashing out will have a significant impact on their lives. But it likely will, even for those on the bottom rung, reliant on benefits. They will likely see reduced benefits and increased prices.    I personally don't think there is enough time to steer the tanker away from the rocks.
  5. Brexit: The fallout

    There's only a couple of ways out of hard crash out Brexit and they both seem reasonably unlikely given the time frame.   A GE in which a Labour party minus Corbyn, running on a stop Brexit manifesto wins well. This would require several Tories or the DUP to collapse the government to cause the election.    Anti-Brexit Tories force the government to hold another referendum on the threat of collapsing the government of they do not.   I simply don't see May offering a referendum. I think she'll take a crash out over another referendum.   It's quite astonishing that a stable western democracy is able to go down this exceedingly risky path, while almost all the evidence says it is not going to be pretty.   The tragic thing is, I'm pretty sure the UK could pull the handbrake and just call the whole thing off and the EU 27 would accept it. The UK needs a proper and serious debate about its place in Europe and the world, but there's little denying the EU is the poorer for losing the UK as a member. 
  6. Brexit: The fallout

    It's really not representative of the facts on the ground to proclaim that the people have the Lib Dems to vote for if they really want to stop Brexit.   The Westminster electoral system is essentially a binary choice in most constituencies, so a vote for anyone but Labour or Conservative will be wasted. That's what a first past the post system delivers. People vote not only for the party they support but also factor in the chance their vote for a 3rd party will likely assist the candidate from the 2 main parties that they do not want to see elected. It's a warped system really.   If the UK had PR then Brexit would never have happened. UKIP would be a large but still minority party in Westminster but would not be any more than that. Tories who hate the EU would defect.
  7. Brexit: The fallout

    I was referring to the article above. Modelling seems to show 100 (mostly Labour) constituencies have shifted to remain.   If this trend continues, it puts Corbyn in a tight spot. He really hates the EU as much as Mogg but for different reasons.    If ordinary working class people begin to realise what a pup they have been sold and another bunch on Labour constituencies change position, it will be hard for Labour backbenchers to continue supporting Corbyn's "position" on Brexit.   Don't really think there's enough time though, if I'm being honest with myself.
  8. Brexit: The fallout

    It's a pity Corbyn is a closet leaver, otherwise any other Labour leader would see the changing tide and seize the opportunity to support a withdrawal of A50. If more polls reveal more Labour constituencies shifting to remain Corbyn may be pushed out.
  9. Brexit: The fallout

    Or perhaps even spit roasted!
  10. Brexit: The fallout

    I hope they can fly because if they can't the ferries will be busy carrying refugees out lol.
  11. Brexit: The fallout

    Point well made.
  12. Brexit: The fallout

    Unbelievable... https://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/final-say-brexit-latest-conservative-mp-explain-speeches-second-referendum-a8477686.html  
  13. Brexit: The fallout

    Richard Burnett(Road haulage association) - "We're not ready for the 29th of March & that's not scare mongering it's the reality of the situation. We're going to see queues on the M20 on a scale we've never seen before... we'll see delays of days/weeks."
  14. Brexit: The fallout

    The lack of customs border very much is an EU thing. Until 1992 there were customs posts along the border but back then the majority of roads had been closed due to the troubles, either through dynamiting bridges or cratering the road (done by the British army).   There were only briefly (for a few years that is) passport controls between GB and Ireland (including NI!) during and for a time after WWII.