QUOTE (Conquistador @ Jun 10 2008, 8:29 pm)

Clinton's administration nixed an oil deal between US firm Conoco and Iran in 1995, and imposed complete sanctions on trade between the US and Iran so you can hardly say his position on Iran was one of being willing to do business.
I never said it didn't. Clinton never followed the European lead with Khatami but I think a Gore presidency would have as he has said as much himself.
QUOTE (Conquistador @ Jun 10 2008, 8:29 pm)

The Axis of Evil speech was foolish, but I think you whitewash completely Iran's role as a huge supporter of terrorism at a time when you claim they were so helpful to the US. Iran's role in promoting terrorism is a huge barrier to an improvement in US-Iranian relations.
I didn't whitewash it at all. I just didn't deal with it. Khatami and the liberals were uncomfortable with their role with Hezbollah et al and did offer talks over the Middle East as a way to get them out of the whole thing in 2002. These were rejected by the US as I pointed out and pretty much finished that as an option. A Gore presidency would have had a dialog with Iran. Khatami also refused to meet Moqtada al Sadr and the proto-terrorist Shiite militias during his presidency. Of course Ahmedinejad reversed that totally and is widely known to fund many of these militias. Possible not face to face at first and maybe using Switzerland as an intermediary. I don't pretend to know what the outcome would have been but it just seems to me that the one way out of the revolutionary extremes of Iran was through liberals like Khatami and we fudged that totally.Hopefully in 2009, if a liberal is elected, we won't make that mistake a second time.
QUOTE (Conquistador @ Jun 10 2008, 8:29 pm)

The Taliban were an enemy of Iran, so it's not as though they didn't have a vested interest in regime change there. In the case of Iraq, I am not aware of any genuine proposal by Iran to be of assistance and to do comprehensive negotiations (would be good to have a source on this) but I am skeptical especially since the January 2002 Axis of Evil speech which caused such a kerfluffle (and which was unbelievably dumb) preceded it. Do you really think after that speech, there could have been comprhensive negotiations with the US? Saddam was also reviled by the Iranians.
Reference to Iran's offer was covered in the Observer last year I think, though I cannot find it. It is howevere referred to on
Wikipedia - reference 8 on that page is a pdf sourced from the Washington post with step to step details of secret contacts that came to light after Khatami was well gone.
QUOTE (Conquistador @ Jun 10 2008, 8:29 pm)

Khatami, while a relative liberal, was already exposed as not being one of the Western style variety when the student demonstrations in 1999 were violently repressed (he denounced the students). Khatami did want better relations with Europe for economic reasons and he did want to allow the Iranian people somewhat greater personal freedoms, but he had relatively little power and did not pose the slightest challenge to clerical rule, which is the crux of the problems in Iran. To be fair to Khatami, he was limited in what he could do, but his election in 1997 raised unrealistic expectations both at home and abroad (including my own, I might add). Improving Iranian relations with Europe (especially with Iran's nuclear program being secret at the time) was a far simpler matter than doing so with the US (where security issues were paramount) thus the two cannot reasonably be conflated.
during his period in office he liberalised the media and encouraged them to criticize within reason the leaders of the nation including the Surpreme Council. He also introduced the "Twin Bills" that would have limited the power of the Supreme Leader while increasing the powers of the presidency. If that had succeeded in the Majlis then maybe the process of reform could have begun in earnest. However, it was during its initial parliamentary stages that the Axis of Evil speech was given and I think you can guess what happened. The bills were resoundingly defeated effectively finishing Khatami as a political force.
QUOTE (Conquistador @ Jun 10 2008, 8:29 pm)

I welcome the election of a reformist Iranian president next year, if that does indeed happen, and I would be happy to see US-Iranian economic and diplomatic relations being normalized (under the right set of circumstances) if it was to occur. However, I have yet to see any evidence that the Ayatollah Khamenei , the Council of Guardians and the Assembly of Experts is interested in it, much less the Iranian people.
Can be hard to read but Khamenei has openly defied Ahmedinejad , who is also very unpopular over domestic policy. The politician who is being lined up as a possible challenger (can't remember his name but he is an acolyte of Rafsanjani) is probably more of a pragmatist than a liberal. But quite possibly a pragmatist is more likely to get things done?
QUOTE (Conquistador @ Jun 10 2008, 8:29 pm)

Iran is a country I would like to visit one day, so you bet I would like to see normalized relations between the US and the Islamic Republic. I do favor back channel negotiations with Iran on issues of bilateral concern (at levels much lower than that of heads of state) and once a US withdrawal or permanent presence of some sort in Iraq has been negotiated with the Iraqis, I do favor regional and international discussions on the transition.
well good and I probably agree with you up to a point. However, the civil war in Iraq is still a concern and if possible, a meeting of heads of state with two of the principal sponsors might deliver substantive change faster, particularly if timed with an announcement of US troop withdrawals. It would be a leap in the dark and I can see why it has been attacked as a proposal. But Barrack Obama did not actually come up with it himself, Tony Blair actually advocated it some time back.
QUOTE (Conquistador @ Jun 10 2008, 8:29 pm)

MT, it would certainly be a landmark occasion if you were to denounce leftists such as eurovol, BTC, and bookmanjb for doing exactly the sort of things you mentioned.
Not putting words in his mouth, but MT is efectively daggers drawn with he Labour Party (of which I am a longtime member). We get on as friends but our olitical differences are probably fairly profound. However, on these boards the terms of debate are rarely on home territory. With such a broad transatlantic spread of opinions, the Europeans tend to end up concertina-ed into what you would call a 'leftist' grouping. pause for a moment to consider whether Owain Glydwyr (sp?) and (gideon) both long time UK conservatives could really be considered 'leftist' and yet in these debates I frequently find myself agreeing with them and they with me though in the realm of UK politics we are poles apart.