So, Tuesday is the big day in the USA. At stake are 435 (all) House seats, 33 (out of 100) Senate seats, 36 (out of 50) Governorships and more importantly, the future direction of the country.
Here are the rules:
Contest is open to everyone, but the winner is responsible for collecting the prize.
Post your best guesstimate of the numerical outcomes the Senate and House races will have on the balance of power following the election.
for example: House (D) 238, (R.) 197; Senate (D) 50, (R.) 50
Ti-breaker (if needed) will be the Governships.
for example: (D) 30, (R.) 20
D=Democrat
R=Republican
I=Independent (Lieberman is an Independent for the purposes of this contest)
Decision of the judge (me) will be final.
Winner can pick up the flag at Sinans (Mozart Str.) on Wednesday night (8th of Nov. 7pm-1am) where we (anyone who wants to join us) will be celebrating. Remember to RSVP for reserved seating.
OK, take your best shot!
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U.S. election prognostication competition
Win an American flag (a real one)
Nobody willing to go out on a limb?
Maybe you should have offered a different prize.
What do you want for nothing?
If you provide the lighter to burn it then, sure, I will have a guess...
OK i'll play and i have to admit i've googled it shamelessly because i understand bugger all about it, i just like entering fantasy leagues
So here's my vote :-
THE SENATE: Democrats + 6 = 51D, 49R
THE HOUSE: Democrats + 27 = 230D, 205R
THE GOVERNORSHIPS: Democrats + 7 = 29D, 21R
There ya go, roll the dice and let the money ride
So here's my vote :-
THE SENATE: Democrats + 6 = 51D, 49R
THE HOUSE: Democrats + 27 = 230D, 205R
THE GOVERNORSHIPS: Democrats + 7 = 29D, 21R
There ya go, roll the dice and let the money ride
QUOTE (Crawlie @ Nov 5 2006, 10:12 pm) 
If you provide the lighter to burn it then, sure, I will have a guess...
Lighter not included and remember, you have to collect the prize (preferably on Wednesday night).
I suppose i'm winning at the moment as the sole contestant Can i have a Confederate flag please ?
Can i have a Confederate flag please ? 
THE SENATE: 48D, 52R
THE HOUSE: 214D, 216R
THE GOVERNORSHIPS: 25D, 25R
I believe Diebold will win it.
THE HOUSE: 214D, 216R
THE GOVERNORSHIPS: 25D, 25R
I believe Diebold will win it.
Senate 47D 52R 1I
House 213D 220R 2I
Governors 24D 26R
Won't require any incendiary devices.
House 213D 220R 2I
Governors 24D 26R
Won't require any incendiary devices.
Sanwald is right. Lieberman will win as an Indi candidate...so my projection is
Senate 48 (D), 1 (I), 51 ®
House: 236 (D) , 199 ®
Gov'na 29 (D), 21 ®
Though I will be estatic if VA goes with Webb, I just am quite worried that too many voting irregularities or intimdations may win out. Polls are one thing, but what happens on the ground is another. It is also unseasonably cold in VA right now, and that can have an impact on whether people go to vote or not.
Senate 48 (D), 1 (I), 51 ®
House: 236 (D) , 199 ®
Gov'na 29 (D), 21 ®
Though I will be estatic if VA goes with Webb, I just am quite worried that too many voting irregularities or intimdations may win out. Polls are one thing, but what happens on the ground is another. It is also unseasonably cold in VA right now, and that can have an impact on whether people go to vote or not.
is this contest based on the results before or after the lawsuits and court decisions, which seems to be where this election is headed?
Hum, good point Chicago. I certainly expect that whatever happens in VA will end up in a recount and court. So we may be waiting to get that flag Eh!
And Eurovol, I don't want no bloody Southern Flag...Please. I be a Northener born and bred, even if I do live below the Mason Dixon line now.
And Eurovol, I don't want no bloody Southern Flag...Please. I be a Northener born and bred, even if I do live below the Mason Dixon line now.
Its a real American (not Confederate) flag.
I`ll even teach you how to fold it.
Come on folks, get those pychic genes going.
Lieberman is leading in the polls by 12%! How happy the Gore Democrats must be!
House (D) 238 (R ) 196 (I) 1
Senate (D) 50 (R ) 48 (I) 2
Governorships (D) 30 (R ) 20
And Cheney will shoot someone else today.
Senate (D) 50 (R ) 48 (I) 2
Governorships (D) 30 (R ) 20
And Cheney will shoot someone else today.
Hey euro, is one of those I´s in the Senate going to be Lieberman?
Yeah and he is going to win I fear because the Repugs are going to vote for him instead of their own candidate. Imagine that, the Repugs are going to elect a Democrat.
Lieberman is a closet Neocon.
Other entries recieved.
QUOTE
House: 229 D / 206 R
Senate: 49 D / 51 R
Senate: 49 D / 51 R
QUOTE
House (D) 219, (R.) 215 (I) 1
Senate (D) 48, (R.) 51 (I) 1
Governors (D) 24, (R.) 26
Senate (D) 48, (R.) 51 (I) 1
Governors (D) 24, (R.) 26
QUOTE (BadBob @ Nov 7 2006, 3:36 pm)
Lieberman is a closet Neocon.
This actually makes sense!
This actually makes sense!
It may be a while before we can determine a winner.
Election woes start early.
This is going to be a long long night.
Election woes start early.
QUOTE
Voting machines began wreaking havoc the minute the polls opened Tuesday, delaying voters in dozens of Indiana and Ohio precincts and leaving some in Florida with little choice but turn to paper ballots instead.
This is going to be a long long night.
Trying to CYA already? Are you now, already saying the Republicans fixed the machines...that is so u.
BB, there is medication which can help to curb your paranoia. Or have you gone off your meds so that your symptoms would be exaggerated today?
Florida has had early voting for the past week, the polling stations have been open, but the libs are already again crying foul? BS
Democrats' voter turnout outpaces GOP's in Oregon
Signs of things to come?
Post your best guesstimates in order to win and join us tomorrow night for the Aftershock and Awe Party.
QUOTE
Democratic turnout in Oregon for today's election continues to outpace Republican turnout, consistent with the results of national polls.
Democrats accounted for 44.1 percent of votes received through Saturday, and Republicans accounted for 38.2 percent, according to figures supplied by the Oregon Democratic Party and corroborated by Republicans. Of those voting, 346,615 were Democrats and 299,992 were Republicans.
Remaining voters were unaffiliated or registered with smaller parties.
Among registered Democrats, 44.6 percent voted by Saturday, compared with 41.8 percent of registered Republicans.
Those figures suggest that Oregon voters' mood is consistent with results of nationwide polls showing that Democrats are more motivated to vote than Republicans this election because of President Bush's declining approval rating, congressional scandals and unhappiness about the Iraq war.
Typically, Republican turnout tops Democratic turnout in Oregon.
Democrats accounted for 44.1 percent of votes received through Saturday, and Republicans accounted for 38.2 percent, according to figures supplied by the Oregon Democratic Party and corroborated by Republicans. Of those voting, 346,615 were Democrats and 299,992 were Republicans.
Remaining voters were unaffiliated or registered with smaller parties.
Among registered Democrats, 44.6 percent voted by Saturday, compared with 41.8 percent of registered Republicans.
Those figures suggest that Oregon voters' mood is consistent with results of nationwide polls showing that Democrats are more motivated to vote than Republicans this election because of President Bush's declining approval rating, congressional scandals and unhappiness about the Iraq war.
Typically, Republican turnout tops Democratic turnout in Oregon.
Signs of things to come?
Post your best guesstimates in order to win and join us tomorrow night for the Aftershock and Awe Party.
Only an hour and a half left to join in on the prediction fun.
Last call for alcohol...
This is going to take some time to finalize and tabulate.
As it stands now:
Senate 48-50-2 (both Ind. caucus with the Dems making it 50-50)
House 231-204
Gov. 28-22
Dems set to take control of all three branches, but these numbers will change in the coming hours or weeks.
In th final running looks to be Bluedave, Gemini and Anonymous #1. Plus, my own prediction is not far off the mark.
As it stands now:
Senate 48-50-2 (both Ind. caucus with the Dems making it 50-50)
House 231-204
Gov. 28-22
Dems set to take control of all three branches, but these numbers will change in the coming hours or weeks.
In th final running looks to be Bluedave, Gemini and Anonymous #1. Plus, my own prediction is not far off the mark.
QUOTE (bluedave @ Nov 5 2006, 10:24 pm)
SENATE 51D, 49R
HOUSE 230D, 205R
GOVERNORSHIPS 29D, 21R
HOUSE 230D, 205R
GOVERNORSHIPS 29D, 21R
QUOTE (gemini @ Nov 6 2006, 9:17 am)
Senate 48 (D), 1 (I), 51 (R )
House: 236 (D) , 199 (R )
Gov'na 29 (D), 21 (R )
House: 236 (D) , 199 (R )
Gov'na 29 (D), 21 (R )
QUOTE (eurovol @ Nov 7 2006, 1:28 pm)
House (D) 238 (R ) 196 (I) 1
Senate (D) 50 (R ) 48 (I) 2
Governorships (D) 30 (R ) 20
And Cheney will shoot someone else today.
Senate (D) 50 (R ) 48 (I) 2
Governorships (D) 30 (R ) 20
And Cheney will shoot someone else today.
This is going to be a close call.
has to go to Dave surely??
Woohooo, do i get to win the flag ?
I can fly it off my balcony alongside my union jack and really piss the neighbours off
I can fly it off my balcony alongside my union jack and really piss the neighbours off
gemini is closer on the House of Representatives, and as there are more of them she gets it.
Or they cut it in half and share it.
Or they cut it in half and share it.
QUOTE (eurovol @ Nov 8 2006, 3:24 pm)
And Cheney will shoot someone else today.
Well, you lose then!!
Todays standing:
Senate 50-49-1
House 234-201
Gov 28-22
Gemini has pulled ahead on the House races, but Bluedave is still well positioned in the overall trend by calling the Senate for the Dems as well. I may have to do a poll to help me decide.
There are 10 House races still outstanding.
Senate 50-49-1
House 234-201
Gov 28-22
Gemini has pulled ahead on the House races, but Bluedave is still well positioned in the overall trend by calling the Senate for the Dems as well. I may have to do a poll to help me decide.
There are 10 House races still outstanding.
Nahhh, no poll required, i only entered for a laugh anyway and tbh wouldn't have a clue what to do with it.
Gemini should take the prize
Gemini should take the prize
QUOTE (sarabyrd @ Nov 9 2006, 2:30 pm)
gemini is closer on the House of Representatives, and as there are more of them she gets it.
Or they cut it in half and share it.
Or they cut it in half and share it.
I think that might fall under some desecration of the flag ammendment thingy, and I could go to jail
Bluedave: That is quite generous of you, but I am a Dem and fair is fair. If you win it, you take it. I am sure you would find something interesting to do with it.
Course I have never been so happy to lose on the Senate perdictions.
course a googling Brit shouldn't have entered in the first place!
QUOTE (gemini @ Nov 9 2006, 5:35 pm)
I think that might fall under some desecration of the flag ammendment thingy, and I could go to jail
As is burning it apparently. Jeez... And I had to find out the hard way.. Obviously they have lost their sense of humour since the release of the Borat movie. Bloody hell
ah Crawlie...Conservatives don't have a sense of humor
QUOTE (gemini @ Nov 9 2006, 5:35 pm)
I think that might fall under some desecration of the flag ammendment thingy, and I could go to jail
I was thinking more of Salomon at the time.
Well done whoever won the flag thingy. I am a happy loser on this occasion.
Gov 28-22
Senate 49-49-2 (effectively 51 Dem)
House 229-196 with 10 races still unsettled
Senate 49-49-2 (effectively 51 Dem)
House 229-196 with 10 races still unsettled
No real change yet to election results other than Lieberman said yesterday that he hasn't ruled out switching parties.
http://www.salon.com/politics/war_room/200..._mtp/index.html
House 232-203, but there are still as many as 10 elections in dispute.
QUOTE
Lieberman, who has said he will caucus with the Democratic Party despite having lost Connecticut's Democratic senatorial primary to Ned Lamont, not to mention the Democratic vote in the midterm election, wouldn't commit unequivocally to his party: "I'm not ruling it out," he said, "but I hope I don't get to that point."
http://www.salon.com/politics/war_room/200..._mtp/index.html
House 232-203, but there are still as many as 10 elections in dispute.
House 231-196 and 8 undecided.
Likely to be 1 Dem, 6 Rep and 1 runoff election.
House 232-202
Bluedave is the winner! Now you can piss off your neighbors with an American flag.
Likely to be 1 Dem, 6 Rep and 1 runoff election.
House 232-202
Bluedave is the winner! Now you can piss off your neighbors with an American flag.
Oh wow
Bugger me, i've never won anything before
Sadly i won't be able to make your meeting eurovol to collect Old Glory but thanks for letting me have a go
Bugger me, i've never won anything before
Sadly i won't be able to make your meeting eurovol to collect Old Glory but thanks for letting me have a go
No need to make any meeting (besides, that meeting is over and it was fun and great food). I could have it with me at the Arc or a Curry Night or whatever. I am planning on being at the ARC on Sunday for NFL in fact and Curry Night in the not to distant future.
Thankyou sir, you're a gentleman, i'll buy you a beer for it sometime then.
Let me know when I can give you your flag! We keep bumping into each other, but I just don't carry flags with me all the time. You can trade up to a Tennessee flag if you want. Google it and make your choice. Or, you can take a bottle (hell, maybe two) of the best BBQ sauce you ever had! I have some of the most wickedest mesquite flavored sauce you could ever imagine along with some damn good hickory flavored. It is now aged almost two years and will only get better. I actually think you would enjoy that more than the flag. Of course, it is your choice!
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